MLB Trade Deadline Predictions

With the MLB All Star Game just around the corner, that means that the trade deadline won’t be far behind.  Now is the point in the season where teams start to make serious decisions on how their seasons are looking and whether they are going to be buyers or sellers at the deadline.  This season, I think that there are going to be significantly fewer serious buyers than sellers and that it will end up being a buyer’s market.  I went through each team and categorized them either as a seller or a buyer.  If the team is a seller, I then listed any players I can see that team being willing to part with and what the player’s contract and stats are (using Fangraphs WAR).  For the buyers, I determined what their needs are based on how their season has gone thus far and listed fits and likely moves I could see that team making.

Sellers

Baltimore Orioles

  • SP Wade Miley, 30
    • Contract: $8,750,000 for 2017 with a $12 club option for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/21: 14 GS, 3-4, 71.1 IP, 4.29 ERA, 4.82 FIP, 1.61 WHIP, 34 ER, 10 HR, 66 K, 40 BB, 0.6 WAR
  • SP Chris Tillman, 29
    • Contract: $10,050,000 for 2017, UFA this offseason
    • 2017 stats as of 6/21: 9 GS, 1-5, 39.2 IP, 8.39 ERA, 6.50 FIP, 2.17 WHIP, 37 ER, 9 HR, 26 K, 22 BB, -0.2 WAR
  • RP Zach Britton, 29 (Currently on DL)
    • Contract: $11,400,000 for 2017, eligible for arbitration in 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/21: 8 games, 5 saves, 9.0 IP, 1.00 ERA, 2.90 FIP, 1.78 WHIP, 1 ER, 7 K, 4 BB, 0.2 WAR
  • C Welington Castillo, 30
    • Contract: $6,000,000 for 2017, $7 million player option for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/21: 40 G, 44/157, 6 2B, 7 HR, 24 RBI, 7 BB, 42 K, 19 R, .280/.311/.452, .343 BABIP, 1.0 WAR, -1 Defensive Runs Saved (DRS)

Toronto Blue Jays

  • SP Francisco Liriano, 33
    • Contract: $13,666,666 for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 11 GS, 3-3, 50.0 IP, 5.76 ERA, 4.79 FIP, 1.66 WHIP, 32 ER, 7 HR, 52 K, 30 BB, 0.4 WAR
  • SP Marco Estrada, 33
    • Contract: $14,500,000 for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 15 GS, 4-5, 85.0 IP, 4.98 ERA, 3.89 FIP, 1.39 WHIP, 47 ER, 14 HR, 96 K, 24 BB, 1.6 WAR
  • SP J.A. Happ, 34
    • Contract: $13,000,000 for 2017 and under contract for 2018 at same salary
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 7 GS, 2-4, 38.0 IP, 4.26 ERA, 4.10 FIP, 1.21 WHIP, 18 ER, 8 HR, 44 K, 7 BB, 0.5 WAR
  • RP Joe Smith, 33 (Currently on DL)
    • Contract: $3,000,000 for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 34 G, 3-0, 31.2 IP, 3.41 ERA, 2.25 FIP, 1.14 WHIP, 12 ER, 3 HR, 47 K, 8 BB, 0.9 WAR
  • RF Jose Bautista, 36
    • Contract: $18,000,000 for 2017 and an $18,000,000 mutual option for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 71 G,  56/256, 10 2B, 12 HR, 31 RBI, 42 BB, 74 K, 4 SB, 44 R, .219/.334/.398, .254 BABIP, 0.3 WAR, 2 DRS
  • 3B Josh Donaldson, 31
    • Contract: $17,000,000 for 2017, eligible for arbitration this offseason, reaches free agency after the 2018 season
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 31 G, 32/112, 6 2B, 8 HR, 17 RBI, 19 BB, 29 K, 1 SB, 14 R, .286/.389/.554, .320 BABIP, 1.4 WAR, 2 DRS

Tampa Bay Rays

  • SP Alex Cobb, 29
    • Contract: $4,200,000 for 2017, free agent after this year
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 15 GS, 6-5, 93.1 IP, 4.05 ERA, 4.14 FIP, 1.39 WHIP, 42 ER, 10 HR, 66 K, 27 BB, 1.2 WAR
  • SP Chris Archer, 28
    • Contract: $4,916,666 for 2017, under contract through 2019 with club options for 2020 and 2021
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 15 GS, 5-4, 98.1 IP, 3.75 ERA, 2.88 FIP, 1.18 WHIP, 41 ER, 9 HR, 122 K, 31 BB, 2.9 WAR
  • SP Jake Odorizzi, 27
    • Contract: $4,100,000 for 2017, eligible for arbitration in 2018 and 2019 and free agency in 2020
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 13 GS, 4-3, 69.0 IP, 3.78 ERA, 5.22 FIP, 1.22 WHIP, 29 ER, 15 HR, 59 K, 24 BB, 0.0 WAR
  • 1B Logan Morrison, 29
    • Contract: $2,500,000 for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 71 G, 59/239, 13 2B, 21 HR, 51 RBI, 40 BB, 68 K, 1 SB, 40 R, .247/.356/.565, .248 BABIP, 2.2 WAR, 1 DRS
  • OF Colby Rasmus, 30
    • Contract: $5,000,000 for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 stats as of 6/22: 37 G, 34/121, 7 2B, 1 3B, 9 HR, 23 RBI, 7 BB, 45 K, 1 SB, 17 R, .281/.318/.579, .368 BABIP, 1.2 WAR, 5 DRS

Chicago White Sox

  • SP Jose Quintana, 28
    • Contract: $7 million for 2017, $8.85 million for 2018, $10.5 million club options for 2019 and 2020
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 15 GS, 4-8, 88.1 IP, 4.69 ERA, 4.07 FIP, 1.33 WHIP, 46 ER, 12 HR, 88 K, 32 BB, 1.6 WAR
  • SP Derek Holland, 30
    • Contract: $6 million for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 14 GS, 5-7, 76.1 IP, 4.48 ERA, 5.60 FIP, 1.52 WHIP, 38 ER, 16 HR, 64 K, 32 BB, 0.1 WAR
  • SP James Shields, 35
    • Contract: $21 million for both 2017 and 2018 with a $16 million club option for 2019.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 4 GS, 1-0, 22.1 IP, 2.42 ERA, 5.38 FIP, 1.21 WHIP, 6 ER, 4 HR, 19 K, 11 BB, 0.1 WAR
  • SP Mike Pelfrey, 33
    • Contract: $535,000 for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 11 GS, 3-5, 55.2 IP, 3.56 ERA, 4.40 FIP, 1.28 WHIP, 22 ER, 5 HR, 35 K, 21 BB, 0.7 WAR
  • RP Anthony Swarzak, 31
    • Contract: $900,000 for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 28 G, 3-2, 33.0 IP, 3.00 ERA, 2.62 FIP, 1.09 WHIP, 11 ER, 1 HR, 30 K, 10 BB, 0.9 WAR
  • RP David Robertson, 32
    • Contract: $12 million for 2017, $13 million for 2018
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 23 G, 3-2, 11 saves, 25.1 IP, 3.20 ERA, 2.82 FIP, 0.87 WHIP, 0.7 WAR
  • OF Melky Cabrera, 32
    • Contract: $15 million for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 68 G, 76/272, 10 2B, 7 HR, 40 RBI, 21 BB, 34 K, 39 R, .279/.330/.393, .295 BABIP, -0.5 WAR, -5 DRS
  • 3B Todd Frazier, 31
    • Contract: $12 million for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/23: 62 G, 46/219, 10 2B, 12 HR, 35 RBI, 34 BB, 53 K, 4 2B, 30 R, .210/.315/.420, .217 BABIP, 0.8 WAR, 1 DRS

Minnesota Twins

  • SP Ervin Santana, 34
    • Contract: $13.5 million for 2017 and 2018 with a $14 million club option for 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 15 GS, 9-4, 100.0 IP, 2.97 ERA, 4.81 FIP, 1.02 WHIP, 33 ER, 15 HR, 74 K, 36 BB, 0.9 WAR
  • RP Brandon Kintzler, 32
    • Contract: $2,925,000 for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 31 G, 2-1, 19 saves, 31.1 IP, 2.87 ERA, 3.81 FIP, 1.12 WHIP, 10 ER, 3 HR, 21 K, 7 BB, 0.4 WAR
  • 2B Brian Dozier, 30
    • Contract: $6 million for 2017, $9 million for 2018, free agent in 2019
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 66 G, 66/268, 15 2B, 12 HR, 32 RBI, 35 BB, 57 K, 10 SB, 34 R, .246/.339/.437, .270 BABIP, 1.1 WAR, 0 DRS
  • 1B Joe Mauer, 34
    • Contract: $23 million for 2017 and 2018 (full no-trade clause)
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 61 G, 63/228, 14 2B, 4 HR, 29 RBI, 24 BB, 38 K, 31 R, .276/.348/.390, .323 BABIP, 0.7 WAR, 2 DRS

Detroit Tigers

  • SP Justin Verlander, 34
    • Contract: $28 million for 2017, 2018, 2019, $22 million vesting for 2020
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 15 GS, 4-4, 87.2 IP, 4.52 ERA, 4.20 FIP, 1.45 WHIP, 44 ER, 10 HR, 86 K, 43 BB, 1.3 WAR
  • RP Justin Wilson, 29
    • Contract: $2.7 million for 2017, eligible for arbitration in 2018, eligible for free agency in 2019
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 29 G, 3-3, 5 saves, 27.1 IP, 2.96 ERA, 3.50 FIP, 1.10 WHIP, 9 ER, 4 HR, 39 K, 12 BB, 0.5 WAR
  • C Alex Avila, 30
    • Contract: $2 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 57 G, 46/147, 10 2B, 10 HR, 27 RBI, 30 BB, 52 K, 23 R, .313/.433/.585, .424 BABIP, 2.3 WAR, 0 DRS
  • 2B Ian Kinsler, 35
    • Contract: $11 million for 2017, $10 million club option for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 57 G, 57/224, 11 2B, 1 3B, 8 HR, 19 RBI, 26 BB, 31 K, 6 SB, 44 R, .254/.343/.420, .265 BABIP, 1.7 WAR, 6 DRS
  • RF J.D. Martinez, 29
    • Contract: $11.75 million for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 38 G, 40/131, 9 2B, 1 3B, 12 HR, 27 RBI, 20 BB, 37 K, 28 R, .305/.392/.664, .333 BABIP, 1.3 WAR, -4 DRS
  • 1B Miguel Cabrera, 34
    • Contract: $28 million for 2017, plus 6 years and $184 million left on his deal, plus two $30 million mutual options for 2024 and 2025.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 59 G, 59/218, 15 2B, 8 HR, 34 RBI, 33 BB, 53 K, 26 R, .271/.370/.450, .323 BABIP, 0.7 WAR, -5 DRS

Oakland Athletics

  • SP Sonny Gray, 27
    • Contract: $3,575,000 for 2017; eligible for arbitration in 2018 and 2019; eligible for free agency in 2020
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 10 GS, 2-3, 57.2 IP, 4.84 ERA, 3.62 FIP, 1.42 WHIP, 31 ER, 6 HR, 58 K, 21 BB, 1.0 WAR
  • RP Ryan Madson, 36
    • Contract: $7,666,666 for 2017 and $7,666,668 in 2017
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 30 G, 1-4, 1 save, 28.1 IP, 2.54 ERA, 2.82 FIP< 0.95 WHIP, 8 ER, 2 HR, 28 K, 6 BB, 0.6 WAR
  • RP Santiago Casilla, 36
    • Contract: $5 million for 2017 and $6 million for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 26 G, 1-2, 11 saves, 25.1 IP, 4.26 ERA, 3.77 FIP, 1.26 WHIP, 12 ER, 2 HR, 26 K, 12 BB, 0.2 WAR
  • RP Sean Doolittle, 30
    • Contract: $2,630,000 for 2017 and $4,380,000 for 2018, plus two club options in 2019 and 2020 at $6 and $6.5 million respectively
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 13 G, 0-0, 3 saves, 11.2 IP, 2.31 ERA, 2.54 FIP, 0.60 WHIP, 3 ER, 2 HR, 18 K, 1 BB, 0.4 WAR
  • 2B/SS Jed Lowrie, 33
    • Contract: $6.5 million for 2017 and a $6 million club option for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 69 G, 75/265, 23 2B, 2 3B, 8 HR, 25 RBI, 28 BB, 47 K, 44 R, .283/.355/.475, .318 BABIP, 1.8 WAR, 0 DRS
  • 1B Yonder Alonso, 30
    • Contract: $4 million for 2017.  Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 60/203, 13 2B, 17 HR, 37 RBI, 30 BB, 53 K, 1 SB, 38 R, .296/.389/.611, .323 BABIP, 2.2 WAR, -6 DRS
  • OF Matt Joyce, 32
    • Contract: $5 million for 2017 and $6 million for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/23: 63 G, 45/198, 12 2B, 8 HR, 28 RBI, 31 BB, 51 K, 1 SB, 27 R, .227/.330/.409, .261 BABIP, 0.3 WAR, -3 DRS

Philadelphia Phillies

  • SP Jeremy Hellickson, 30
    • Contract: $17.2 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 15 GS, 5-5, 84.0 IP, 4.61 ERA, 5.82 FIP, 1.31 WHIP, 43 ER, 16 HR, 38 K, 25 BB, 0.1 WAR
  • RP Pat Neshek, 36
    • Contract: $6.5 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 32 G, 2-1, 1 save, 29.2 IP, 0.61 ERA, 2.09 FIP, 0.78 WHIP, 2 ER, 1 HR, 28 K, 4 BB,  1.1 WAR
  • RP Joaquin Benoit, 39
    • Contract: $7.5 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 30 G, 1-2, 1 save, 4.40 ERA, 4.53 FIP, 1.22 WHIP, 14 ER, 4 HR, 27 K, 14 BB, 0.1 WAR
  • UT Howie Kendrick, 33
    • Contract: $10 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 31 G, 43/121, 8 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 11 BB, 27 K, 8 SB, 15 R, .355/.414/.488, .446 BABIP, 0.9 WAR, 1 DRS

Miami Marlins

  • SP Edinson Volquez, 33
    • Contract: $9 million for 2017 and $13 million for 2018
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 14 GS, 3-8, 77.1 IP, 4.19 ERA, 4.27 FIP, 1.40 WHIP, 36 ER, 7 HR, 72 K, 44 BB, 0.8 WAR
  • SP Dan Straily, 28
    • Contract: $552,100 for 2017, arbitration eligible in 2018, 2019, and 2020.  Eligible for free agency in 2021.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 15 GS, 5-4, 84.0 IP, 3.43 ERA, 3.74 FIP, 1.10 WHIP, 32 ER, 10 HR, 86 K, 27 BB, 1.7 WAR
  • RP Dustin McGowan, 35
    • Contract: $1.75 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 28 G, 4-0, 40.0 IP, 2.70 ERA, 3.89 FIP, 1.13 WHIP, 12 ER, 4 HR, 35 K, 14 BB, 0.2 WAR
  • RP AJ Ramos, 30
    • Contract: $6.55 million for 2017, arbitration eligible for 2018, and eligible for free agency in 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 27 G, 2-3, 11 saves, 26.0 IP, 3.81 ERA, 3.83 FIP, 1.35 WHIP, 11 ER, 3 HR, 36 K, 15 BB, 0.2 WAR
  • 3B Martin Prado, 33
    • Contract: $11.5 million in 2017, $13.5 million in 2018, and $15 million in 2019.  Free agent in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 19 G, 21/75, 2 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 3 BB, 11 K, 8 R, .280/.304/.387, .302 BABIP, -0.2 WAR, 4 DRS
  • 1B Justin Bour, 29
    • Contract: $552,500 for 2017, eligible for arbitration in 2018, 2019, and 2020.  Eligible for free agency in 2021.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 63 G, 63/215, 8 2B, 18 HR, 48 RBI, 24 BB, 54 K, 29 R, .293/.365/.581, .313 BABIP, 1.6 WAR, 0 DRS
  • OF Marcell Ozuna, 26
    • Contract: $3.5 million for 2017, eligible for arbitration in 2018 and 2019. Eligible for free agency in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/25: 73 G, 90/281, 13 2B, 20 HR, 53 RBI, 30 BB, 65 K, 44 R, .320/.385/.580, .355 BABIP, 2.8 WAR, 3 DRS

Atlanta Braves

  • SP Jaime Garcia, 30
    • Contract: $12 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 14 GS, 2-5, 87.0 IP, 4.03 ERA, 4.39 FIP, 1.31 WHIP, 39 ER, 10 HR, 63 K, 34 BB, 0.8 WAR
  • SP R.A. Dickey, 42
    • Contract: $7.5 million for 2017 with an $8 million club option for 2018.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 15 GS, 6-5, 91.1 IP, 4.63 ERA, 5.41 FIP, 1.39 WHIP, 47 ER, 15 HR, 58 K, 36 BB, 0.1 WAR
  • RP Jason Motte, 35
    • Contract: $535,000 for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 26 G, 1-0, 23.0 IP, 1.96 ERA, 5.40 FIP, 1.04 WHIP, 5 ER, 4 HR, 15 K, 8 BB, -0.2 WAR
  • RP Jim Johnson, 33
    • Contract: $5 million for 2017 and 2018. Free agent in 2019.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 32 G, 5-1, 15 saves, 32.2 IP, 3.86 ERA, 2.55 FIP, 1.04 WHIP, 14 ER, 2 HR, 36 K, 8 BB, 1.0 WAR
  • RP Sam Freeman, 30
    • Contract: $535,000 for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018, 2019, and 2020.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 18 G, 0-0, 23.1 IP, 2.70 ERA, 3.39 FIP, 1.41 WHIP, 7 ER, 1 HR, 23 K, 12 BB, 0.2 WAR
  • C Kurt Suzuki, 33
    • Contract: $1.5 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 36 G, 25/110, 5 2B, 4 HR, 19 RBI, 10 BB, 18 K, 12 R, .227/.331/.382, .233 BABIP, 0.5 WAR, 2 DRS
  • C Tyler Flowers, 31
    • Contract: $3 million for 2017 and a $4 million club option for 2018. Free agent in 2019.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 52 G, 54/165, 6 2B, 6 HR, 25 RBI, 17 BB, 39 K, 26 R, .327/.425/.473, .400 BABIP, 1.7 WAR, -6 DRS
  • 1B Matt Adams, 28
    • Contract: $2.8 million for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and free agency in 2019.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 65 G, 54/182, 9 2B, 1 3B, 13 HR, 38 RBI, 15 BB, 49 K, 28 R, .297/.350/.571, .336 BABIP, 1.1 WAR, 0 DRS
  • 2B Brandon Philips, 36
    • Contract: $14 million for 2017, $13 million of which is retained by Cincinnati. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 68 G, 78/259, 19 2B, 7 HR, 28 RBI, 13 BB, 34 K, 7 SB, 39 R, .301/.344/.456, .326 BABIP, 1.3 WAR, 0 DRS
  • OF Nick Markakis, 33
    • Contract: $11 million for 2017 and $11 million for 2018. Free agent in 2019.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 75 G, 83/288, 16 2B, 1 3B, 3 HR, 41 RBI, 30 BB, 62 SB, 38 R, .288/.366/.382, .357 BABIP, 0.3 WAR, -3 DRS
  • OF Matt Kemp, 32
    • Contract: $21.5 million for 2017, 2018, and 2019. Free agent in 2020.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 62 G, 79/247, 20 2B, 12 HR, 35 RBI, 16 BB, 57 K, 30 R, .320/.361/.547, .376 BABIP, 1.0 WAR, -7 DRS

New York Mets

  • RP Addison Reed, 28
    • Contract: $7.75 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 37 G, 0-2, 11 saves, 38.1 IP, 2.82 ERA, 3.19 FIP, 1.15 WHIP, 12 ER, 5 HR, 39 K, 5 BB, 0.7 WAR
  • RP Jerry Blevins, 33
    • Contract: $5.5 million for 2017 and a $7 million club option for 2018.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 39 G, 4-0, 25.2 IP, 2.45 ERA, 2.67 FIP, 1.17 WHIP, 7 ER, 2 HR, 37 K, 12 BB, 0.8 WAR
  • C Rene Rivera, 33
    • Contract: $1.75 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 37 G, 33/123, 4 2B, 5 HR, 19 RBI, 5 BB, 39 K, 11 R, .268/.305/.423, .350 BABIP, 0.5 WAR, 2 DRS
  • 1B Lucas Duda, 31
    • Contract: $7.25 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 53 G, 45/179, 15 2B, 13 HR, 29 RBI, 29 BB, 53 K, 21 R, .251/.362/.553, .283 BABIP, 1.1 WAR, 2 DRS
  • OF Curtis Granderson, 36
    • Contract: $15 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 72 G, 55/234, 16 2B, 3 3B, 10 HR, 29 RBI, 33 BB, 57 K, 3 SB, 35 R, .235/.328/.457, .265 BABIP, 1.2 WAR, 1 DRS
  • OF Jay Bruce, 30
    • Contract: $13 million for 2017 with a modified no-trade clause. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 Stats as of 6/26: 70 G, 75/278, 16 2B, 20 HR, 52 RBI, 29 BB, 65 K, 42 R, .270/.339/.543, .282 BABIP, 1.8 WAR, 4 DRS

Cincinnati Reds

  • SP Scott Feldman, 34
    • Contract: $2.3 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/28: 16 GS, 6-5 90.2 IP, 4.07 ERA, 4.30 FIP, 1.32 WHIP, 41 ER, 11 HR, 73 K, 30 BB, 1.3 WAR
  • RP Drew Storen, 29
    • Contract: $3 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/28: 33 G, 1-2, 1 save, 32.0 IP, 2.81 ERA, 4.11 FIP, 1.28 WHIP, 10 ER, 2 HR, 26 K, 13 BB, 0.2 WAR
  • RP Blake Wood, 31
    • Contract: $1.275 million for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and for free agency in 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/28: 33 G, 0-4, 35.2 IP, 4.54 ERA, 3.45 FIP, 1.54 WHIP, 18 ER, 2 HR, 36 K, 18 BB, 0.4 WAR
  • 2B Scooter Gennett, 27
    • Contract: $2.525 million for 2017.  Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and 2019 and for free agency in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/28: 63 G, 54/176, 11 2B, 2 3B, 11 HR, 40 RBI, 10 BB, 42 K, 1 SB, 32 R, .307/.348/.580, .350 BABIP, 1.4 WAR, 2 DRS
  • SS Zack Cozart, 31 (Currently on DL)
    • Contract: $5.325 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/28: 58 G, 70/219, 16 2B, 5 3B, 9 HR, 33 RBI, 32 BB, 47 K, 2 SB, 39 R, .320/.404/.562, .367 BABIP, 2.8 WAR, 4 DRS

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • SP Gerrit Cole, 26
    • Contract: $3.75 million for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and 2019 and for free agency in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/29: 16 GS, 6-6, 96.1 IP, 4.11 ERA, 4.57 FIP, 1.25 WHIP, 44 ER, 17 HR, 79 K, 24 BB, 0.8 WAR
  • SP Ivan Nova, 30
    • Contract: $7,666,666 for 2017. Under contract for 2018 and 2019 with a base salary of $8.5 million each season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/29: 16 GS, 8-5, 108.0 IP, 3.08 ERA, 3.82 FIP, 1.11 WHIP, 37 ER, 11 HR, 60 K, 13 BB, 4.1 WAR
  • RP Tony Watson, 32
    • Contract: $5.6 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/30: 35 G, 4-1, 10 saves, 36.0 IP, 4.00 ERA, 5.05 FIP, 1.50 WHIP, 16 ER, 7 HR, 29 K, 9 BB, -0.3 WAR
  • RP Juan Nicasio, 30
    • Contract: $3.65 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/30: 38 G, 1-4, 34.1 IP, 2.88 ERA, 2.29 FIP, 1.22 WHIP, 11 ER, 0 HR, 37 K, 14 BB, 1.0 WAR
  • RP Daniel Hudson, 30
    • Contract: $5.5 million for 2017 and 2018. Free agent in 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/30: 38 G, 1-3, 33.0 IP, 4.91 ERA, 5.05 FIP, 1.42 WHIP, 18 ER, 6 HR, 30 K, 14 BB, -0.2 WAR
  • 1B/OF John Jaso, 33
    • Contract: $4 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/30: 65 G, 38/154, 13 2B, 6 HR, 20 RBI, 17 BB, 38 K, 1 SB, 16 R, .247/.329/.448, .291 BABIP, 0.1 WAR, -6 DRS
  • OF Andrew McCutchen, 30
    • Contract: $14 million base salary for 2017 with a $14.5 million club option for 2018. Free agent in 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/30: 77 G, 78/281, 14 2B, 2 3B, 14 HR 47 RBI, 37 BB, 54 K, 6 SB, 46 R, .278/.361/.491, .298 BABIP, 1.6 WAR, -13 DRS
  • UT Josh Harrison, 29
    • Contract: $7.75 million for 2017, $10.25 million for 2018, $10.5 million club option for 2019, $11.5 million club option for 2020. Free agent in 2021.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/30: 76 G, 84/284, 16 2B, 2 3B, 9 HR, 27 RBI, 21 BB, 51 K, 10 SB, 34 R, .296/.377/.461, .330 BABIP, 2.5 WAR, 2 DRS
  • 3B David Freese, 34
    • Contract: $6.25 million for 2017, $4.25 million for 2018, $6 million club option for 2019. Free agent in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 6/30: 59 G, 48/193, 5 2B, 6 HR, 25 RBI, 29 BB, 46 K, 26 R, .249/.361/.368, .294 BABIP, 0.5 WAR, 3 DRS

Milwaukee Brewers

  • SP Matt Garza, 33
    • Contract: $12.5 million for 2017, $5 million for 2018. Free agent in 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/2: 12 GS, 3-4, 66.0 IP, 4.36 ERA, 4.06 FIP, 1.29 WHIP, 32 ER, 8 HR, 47 K, 17 BB, 1.2 WAR
  • SP Chase Anderson, 29 (On the Disabled List)
    • Contract: $2.45 million for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018, 2019, and 2020 and for free agency in 2021.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/2: 16 GS, 6-2, 90.1 IP 2.89 ERA, 3.44 FIP, 1.11 WHIP, 29 ER, 8 HR, 85 K, 27 BB, 2.3 WAR
  • SP Jimmy Nelson, 28
    • Contract: $547,000 for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018, 2019, and 2020 and for free agency in 2021.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/3: 16 GS, 6-4, 97.0 IP, 3.43 ERA, 3.27 FIP, 1.25 WHIP, 37 ER, 10 HR, 104 K, 25 BB, 2.4 WAR
  • SP Junior Guerra, 32
    • Contract: $546,200 in 2017 and 2018. Eligible for arbitration in 2019, 2020, and 2021 and for free agency in 2022.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/3: 9 GS, 1-3, 45.2 IP, 4.93 ERA, 7.09 FIP, 1.60 WHIP, 25 ER, 12 HR, 36 K, 28 BB, -0.5 WAR
  • RP Carlos Torres, 34
    • Contract: $2.175 million for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and for free agency in 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/3: 41 G, 4-4, 1 save, 43.2 IP, 4.33 ERA, 4.93 FIP, 1.56 WHIP, 21 ER, 7 HR, 35 K, 17 BB, -0.1 WAR
  • RP Jared Hughes, 31
    • Contract: $950,000 for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and for free agency in 2019.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/3: 34 G, 3-1, 1 save, 3.38 ERA, 3.93 FIP, 1.28 WHIP, 12 ER, 2 HR, 23 K, 13 BB, 0.3 WAR

San Diego Padres

  • SP Clayton Richard, 33
    • Contract: $1.75 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 17 GS, 5-8, 104.0 IP, 4.85 ERA, 4.38 FIP, 1.51 WHIP, 56 ER, 13 HR, 73 K, 31 BB, 1.1 WAR
  • SP Jhoulys Chacin, 29
    • Contract: $1.75 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 17 GS, 7-7, 95.2 IP, 4.52 ERA, 4.42 FIP, 1.33 WHIP, 48 ER, 13 HR, 82 K, 33 BB, 1.1 WAR
  • SP Trevor Cahill, 29
    • Contract: $1.75 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 7 GS, 3-2, 41.1 IP, 3.27 ERA, 3.00 FIP, 1.21 WHIP, 15 ER, 3 HR, 51 K, 17 BB, 1.1 WAR
  • RP Brad Hand, 27
    • Contract: $1.375 million for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and 2019 and for free agency in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 39 G, 1-4, 2 saves, 43.2 IP, 2.47 ERA, 3.01 FIP, 0.96 WHIP, 12 ER, 4 HR, 53 K, 12 BB, 0.9 WAR
  • RP Ryan Buchter, 30
    • Contract: $544,700 in 2017, under team control for 2018. Eligible for arbitration in 2019, 2020, and 2021 and for free agency in 2022.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 34 G, 3-3, 1 save, 31.1 IP, 3.16 ERA, 4.74 FIP, 1.21 WHIP, 11 ER, 6 HR, 38 K, 15 BB, -0.1 WAR

San Francisco Giants

  • SP Johnny Cueto, 31
    • Contract: $21 million for 2017 and under contract through 2021 with a $22 million club option for 2022.  Cueto can opt-out after this season.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 17 GS, 6-7, 105.2 IP, 4.26 ERA, 4.54 FIP, 1.33 WHIP, 50 ER, 18 HR, 96 K, 18 BB, 0.8 WAR
  • SP Matt Moore, 28
    • Contract: $7 million for 2017, $9 and $10 million club options for 2018 and 2019. Free agent in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 17 GS, 3-8, 95.0 IP, 5.78 ERA, 4.75 FIP, 1.62 WHIP, 61 ER, 14 HR, 81 K, 41 BB, 0.5 WAR
  • RP Cory Gearrin, 31
    • Contract: $1.05 million for 2017. Eligible for arbitration in 2018 and 2019 and for free agency in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 33 G, 2-2, 39.0 IP, 2.08 ERA, 3.87 FIP, 1.31 WHIP, 9 ER, 1 HR, 30 K, 20 BB, 0.2 WAR
  • RP Hunter Strickland, 28
    • Contract: $550,000 for 2017. Eligible for free agency in 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 and for free agency in 2022.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 34 G, 1-2, 1 save, 2.15 ERA, 3.52 FIP, 1.47 WHIP, 7 ER, 1 HR, 31 K, 18 BB, 0.4 WAR
  • C Nick Hundley, 33
    • Contract: $2 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 48 G, 32/128, 12 2B, 3 HR, 13 RBI, 5 BB, 40 K, 14 R, .250/.274/.414, .333 BABIP, 0.1 WAR, -3 DRS
  • SS Eduardo Nunez, 30 (Currently on 10 Day DL)
    • Contract: $4.2 million for 2017. Free agent at the end of the season.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 64 G, 76/254, 17 2B, 4 HR, 25 RBI, 17/20 SB, 10 BB, 23 K, 33 R, .299/.323/.413, .314 BABIP, 1.0 WAR, -10 DRS
  • OF Hunter Pence, 34
    • Contract: $18.5 million for 2017 and 2018. Free agent in 2019. Has a full no-trade clause.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 63 G, 60/231, 6 2B, 1 3B, 5 HR, 30 RBI, 16 BB, 50 K, 27 R, .260/.310/.359, .307 BABIP, 0.3 WAR, -6 DRS
  • OF Denard Span, 33
    • Contract: $12 million for 2017, $11 million for 2018, $12 million mutual option for 2019. Free agent in 2020.
    • 2017 stats as of 7/4: 60 G, 69/236, 14 2B, 4 3B, 5 HR, 18 RBI, 4/7 SB, 16 BB, 31 K, 33 R, .292/.343/.449, .320 BABIP, 1.3 WAR, -14 DRS

Buyers

  • Boston Red Sox
    • Record as of 7/5: 49-35, 4.0 game lead in the division
    • Needs: SP, RP, 3B
    • Fits: PHI SP Jeremy Hellickson, MIA SP Dan Straily, CIN SP Scott Feldman, SD SP Trevor Cahill, SF SP Johnny Cueto, SF SS/3B Eduardo Nunez, PHI UT Howie Kendrick, CWS 3B Todd Frazier, various relief pitchers
    • Likely Moves: Depending on how well Eduardo Rodriguez pitches when he returns from the DL and how well David Price pitches up to the trade deadline, the Red Sox will likely acquire a back end starter.  I think that they could be in the market for the starters mentioned above, most of whom will be free agents at the end of the season and likely won’t cost much to acquire.  Cueto and Straily are the two exceptions and Cueto has stated that he will opt-out of his contract at the end of his season and Straily is eligible for arbitration.  Boston has also had a significant lack of production from third base, a position that traditionally produces a lot of offense.  I don’t think there is anyway the Red Sox don’t acquire help at the position and any third basemen on expiring deals will be on their radar.  The Royals’ Mike Moustakas likely would have been the best candidate but with the turn around by Kansas City, they are unlikely to sell at this year’s deadline.  Instead, Todd Frazier is the more suitable candidate for Boston.  The key for me with Boston is to not strip down their farm system anymore that they already have in trades for Craig Kimbrel, Drew Pomeranz, and Chris Sale.  It is vital to keep Jason Groome and Rafael Devers in their farm system.  I predict that the Red Sox will acquire Jeremy Hellickson for the back end of their rotation and Todd Frazier to be their third baseman.
  • New York Yankees
    • Record as of 7/5: 44-38, 4.0 GB in division, and a 1.5 game lead in the Wild Card
    • Needs: SP, 1B
    • Fits: CWS SP Jose Quintana, OAK SP Sonny Gray, MIA SP Dan Straily, ATL SP Jaime Garcia, PIT SP Gerrit Cole, MIL SP Chase Anderson, MIL SP Jimmy Nelson, SF SP Matt Moore, NYM 1B Lucas Duda, ATL 1B Matt Adams, OAK 1B Yonder Alonso, TB 1B Logan Morrison, various relief pitchers
    • Likely Moves: The Yankees are actually true playoff contenders this season and I think will make moves to improve this season and in the future.  They definitely need help in their rotation and will likely be interested in acquiring a pitcher with term left on his contract.  I could see them making a push to get Jose Quintana from the White Sox and see if they can take advantage of his down season by getting him at a lower price.  I could also see them in the market for any of the other pitcher I listed above.  Another need they have is at first base but would only be in the market for one on an expiring deal since they have Greg Bird, who figures to be their first baseman of the future.  Matt Adams makes almost perfect sense for the Yankees and would hit very well in Yankee Stadium as a left-handed hitter.  The Yankees are in a great position because their major league team is competitive and they have one of the best farm systems in baseball.  That means that they can afford to flip a few of their prospects not named Gleyber Torres or Clint Frazier for major league talent.  I predict that the Yankees will acquire Jose Quintana for their rotation and Matt Adams to be their first baseman for the rest of this season and a DH in the future.
  • Cleveland Indians
    • Record as of 7/5: 44-38, 1.5 game lead in the division
    • Needs: SP, C, OF
    • Fits: TB SP Alex Cobb, TB SP Jake Odorizzi, PHI SP Jeremy Hellickson, ATL SP Jaime Garcia, CIN SP Scott Feldman, SD SP Trevor Cahill, PIT OF Andrew McCutchen, NYM OF Jay Bruce, NYM OF Curtis Granderson, ATL C Tyler Flowers, ATL C Kurt Suzuki, TOR RF Jose Bautista
    • Likely Moves: After losing to the Chicago Cubs in seven games in the World Series last season, the Indians are going to do nearly everything possible to win the pennant again.  They have started playing quite well in the past month and find themselves in the division lead.  That doesn’t mean they are a great team quite yet and need to address their starting rotation, where Trevor Bauer, Josh Tomlin, and Danny Salazar have all been really bad.  They also need help at catcher and in the outfield, where Bradley Zimmer has yet to take off.  I could see them going after both players on expiring deals as well as those with term left.  I think that they will end up trading for one of Tampa Bay’s starting pitchers.  I also think that they will make a move for an outfielder and could see Andrew McCutchen as a perfect match for them.  Jay Bruce and Curtis Granderson are other options as well.  Behind the plate, Atlanta’s two catchers have both had good seasons and would be upgrades for Cleveland.  The only question I have is how much are the Indians going to be willing to give up to acquire players at the deadline.  I predict that they will acquire Tyler Flowers to be part of their catching duo, Jaime Garcia to give them a lefty in their rotation, and Jay Bruce for their outfield.
  • Kansas City Royals
    • Record as of 7/5: 43-40, 1.5 GB in division, in Wild Card position
    • Needs: OF, DH, SP, RP
    • Fits: TOR SP Marco Estrada, TOR Francisco Liriano, TB SP Alex Cobb, TB OF Colby Rasmus, TB 1B Logan Morrison, PHI SP Jeremy Hellickson, ATL SP Jaime Garcia, ATL 1B Matt Adams, NYM 1B Lucas Duda, NYM OF Curtis Granderson, NYM OF Jay Bruce, CIN SP Scott Feldman
    • Likely Moves: Earlier in the season it appeared as though the Royals were going to be sellers at the deadline.  However, as I write this, they are just 1.5 games out of first place and in a Wild Card spot.  This season is likely going to be the last real chance the team has at another World Series with their current roster group and I think the Royals front office are going attempt to capitalize on their final opportunity.  The Royals have a pretty bad farm system at this point after graduating many of their prospects to the majors and trading others for major league players.  This means that they aren’t going to be suitors for the big named targets but can still be in on the playoff rentals.  This actually works out well for the Royals, however, as it wouldn’t make sense at this point to acquire players with term since there is a chance that they are going to need to re-build their roster after this season.  The Royals desperately need some help in their outfield and at DH, both positions where they have gotten virtually no production, and they also need help in their rotation and in the bullpen.  I predict that they will acquire Jaime Garcia from the Braves and Jay Bruce from the Mets.
  • Houston Astros
    • Record as of 7/5: 57-27, 16.0 game lead in the division
    • Needs: SP, RP
    • Fits: SF SP Johnny Cueto, PIT SP Gerrit Cole, OAK SP Sonny Gray, CWS SP Jose Quintana, TB SP Chris Archer
    • Likely Moves: Houston has one weakness and it is in their starting rotation, especially on the back end.  Coming into this season, it was widely known that the Astros were going to make a move and acquire a starting pitcher.  When looking at the starting pitching market, the Astros are going to go in heavy on those pitchers with term left on their deals.  These include Gerrit Cole, Sonny Gray, Jose Quintana, and Chris Archer.  The Astros have a deep farm system with the prospects necessary to make a trade for a borderline ace possible.  I think that the Astros will most strongly be interested in Gray, whom they are most familiar with and the two teams have already made trades with each other in the past.  I also think that the Astros will acquire bullpen help because they have already used their relief pitchers fairly heavily at this point in the season.
  • Seattle Mariners
    • Record as of 7/5: 40-44, 17.0 GB in division, 3.0 GB of the Wild Card
    • Needs: SP, RP, OF
    • Fits: SF OF Hunter Pence, SF SP Johnny Cueto, SD SP Trevor Cahill, CIN SP Scott Feldman, NYM OF Curtis Granderson, NYM OF Jay Bruce, ATL SP Jaime Garcia, MIA OF Marcell Ozuna, PHI SP Jeremy Hellickson, MIN SP Ervin Santana, CWS OF Melky Cabrera, CWS SP Mike Pelfrey, TB OF Colby Rasmus, TOR OF Jose Bautista
    • Likely Moves: Seattle is in a similar spot as the Rangers because the Mariners also have a large payroll with the goal of reaching the playoffs each season.  They have to go for it this season despite being so far out of the division lead.  The good news for them is that they have been playing well over the past month and continue to get healthy.  They do have several key needs, however, one of which is production in the outfield.  I predict that they could be heavily in the market for Jose Bautista and even Hunter Pence if he waived his no trade clause.  I think that they’ll end up acquiring Bautista. They also have a need in their starting rotation but have a poor farm system and won’t be able to trade for the big name pitchers.  I do think that they could trade for Ervin Santana, Mike Pelfrey, or Jeremy Hellickson, or even more than one of these.
  • Texas Rangers
    • Record as of 7/5: 40-44, 17.0 GB in division, 3.5 GB of the Wild Card
    • Needs: SP, RP, OF
    • Fits: BAL SP Chris Tillman, TOR SP Marco Estrada, TB SP Alex Cobb, TB OF Colby Rasmus, CWS OF Melky Cabrera, DET OF J.D. Martinez, ATL OF Matt Kemp, ATL SP Jaime Garcia, NYM OF Curtis Granderson, NYM OF Jay Bruce, PIT OF Andrew McCutchen, SF SP Johnny Cueto, SF SP Matt Moore, SF OF Hunter Pence
    • Likely Moves: I’m not certain how much of a chance the Rangers have at making the playoffs at this point.  The issue is that they have quite a large payroll with a roster that says it needs to compete for the playoffs every season.  The Rangers still have a pretty good farm system so they could be in the market for the players with term left on their deals.  I think, however, that they will be more into playoff rental players and pay a smaller price and then go into the offseason with the goal of signing free agents.  I predict that the Rangers will be most heavily in on Matt Kemp, J.D. Martinez, and Johnny Cueto and I think could actually be the suitor for Kemp.
  • Washington Nationals
    • Record as of 7/5: 50-34, 9.0 game lead in the division
    • Needs: RP (especially a closer), OF
    • Fits: BAL RP Zach Britton, TOR OF Jose Bautista, TB OF Colby Rasmus, CWS RP David Robertson, CWS OF Melky Cabrera, MIN RP Brandon Kintzler, DET RP Justin Wilson, DET OF J.D. Martinez, OAK RP Sean Doolittle, PHI RP Pat Neshek, CIN RP Drew Storen, PIT RP Tony Watson, PIT OF Andrew McCutchen
    • Likely Moves: The Nationals will make a move for a relief pitcher for the back end of the bullpen since they already have 14 blown saves on the season.  Their closer role has been a revolving door of mediocrity as none of their relievers have more than eight saves but six have at least one save.  They need at least one shutdown reliever who can come in at the end of games and preserve leads. Look for them to be in the market for David Robertson, Drew Storen, Sean Doolittle, and maybe even Zach Britton if the Orioles decide they won’t be able to re-sign him.  In addition, they will also likely add a set up man in front of their new closer.  I think that they should also address their outfield situation with Adam Eaton missing all of this season.  Michael Taylor has filled in admirably in Eaton’s absence, but Jayson Werth hasn’t been productive this season and with Trea Turner on the DL, the Nationals need to find more offense.  Perhaps they go back to the Pirates and inquire about Andrew McCutchen.  The Nationals still have the prospects to make a major trade like this happen but would require them to include Victor Robles in a trade of this caliber.  If they decide to not pursue McCutchen, perhaps they could package David Robertson with Melky Cabrera from the White Sox.
  • Chicago Cubs
    • Record as of 7/6: 41-42, 3.5 GB in division, 6.5 GB of the Wild Card
    • Needs: Controllable starting pitching, OF
    • Fits: TB SP Chris Archer, TB SP Jake Odorizzi, TB OF Colby Rasmus, CWS SP Jose Quintana, CWS OF Melky Cabrera, DET OF J.D. Martinez, OAK SP Sonny Gray, NYM OF Curtis Granderson, NYM OF Jay Bruce, SF SP Matt Moore, ARI SP Zack Greinke
    • Likely Moves: The Cubs are most likely going to get into the playoffs this season, despite being out of position right now.  They have too talented of a roster to not make the playoffs.  However, they may not be good enough to win series in the playoffs with the way they are playing and need help.  I think they need to address their problems in the outfield with how poorly Kyle Schwarber has been playing.  They also need to figure out their starting rotation, a need that is more vital in future seasons as John Lackey, Jake Arrieta, and Brett Anderson are all free agents after the season. That gives them just Jon Lester and Kyle Hendricks as regular starters for next season.  That means that they need to find controllable starting pitching for next season and beyond and trading for at least one is smarter than attempting to sign one via free agency with how poor this year’s free agency class looks to be. I think that there is a really strong chance that the Cubs inquire about Arizona’s Zack Greinke, who is having a bounceback season on a really good Diamondbacks team.  Although Arizona is doing as well as they are, it still makes sense to consider trading him based on his contract – he under contract through the 2021 season with between $34 and $35 million due each season.  That contract is a big strain on Arizona’s payroll, which is typically one of the lowest in baseball.  The Cubs, however, have the capability of having one of the highest payrolls and taking on Greinke’s contract wouldn’t be such a big deal for them.  Greinke does have a 15 team no-trade clause in his contract so he may block this trade.  I also think that the Cubs could look into trading for Chris Archer, Jake Odorizzi, Jose Quintana, Sonny Gray, or Matt Moore, or even more than one of these.  They have a very good farm system still with the ability to trade for nearly anyone by packing together several prospects. Look for them to make a big move at somepoint, if not at the deadline then in the offseason.
  • St. Louis Cardinals
    • Record as of 7/6: 40-43, 4.5 GB in division, 7.5 GB of the Wild Card
    • Needs: Any offense at all outside of C, SP
    • Fits: TOR 3B Josh Donaldson, TB SP Chris Archer, TB SP Jake Odorizzi, CWS SP Jose Quintana, MIN 2B Brian Dozier, DET SP Justin Verlander, DET 2B Ian Kinsler, OAK SP Sonny Gray, MIA SP Dan Straily, MIA OF Marcell Ozuna, ATL OF Nick Markakis, SF SP Matt Moore, SF OF Hunter Pence
    • Likely Moves: The Cardinals most likely aren’t a playoff team this season but that doesn’t mean that they will be selling off talent. Instead, I think they could actually be a buyer at this season’s trade deadline and then again this offseason.  The key will be them looking to acquire players with term left on their deals in order to make a run in 2018 and beyond.  That’s why I think they could look into trading for Josh Donaldson, Brian Dozier, Ian Kinsler, or Marcell Ozuna as position players.  All are under contract for at least next season and their teams likely have some interest in moving them.  I most likely see the Cardinals acquiring Ozuna or Donaldson out of these four players with Ozuna being the best fit. He is just 26 years old, is having an amazing season thus far, and won’t be a free agent until 2020.  The Marlins also have an interest in trading players because they aren’t competitive this season and likely won’t be again in the near future.  Trading Ozuna allows them to start rebuilding their farm system.  The question is whether or not the Cardinals can put together a package with enough value to trade for Ozuna.  They do have some interesting prospects but Alex Reyes is injured and I’m not certain they are interested in moving catching prospect Carson Kelly.  I think the Cardinals will also look to make a trade for a controllable pitcher with Lance Lynn set to be a free agent this offseason and Adam Wainwright the following year.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
    • Record as of 7/6: 56-29, 3.5 game lead in the division
    • Needs: depth starting pitching, RP
    • Fits: ATL SP Jaime Garcia, MIA SP Dan Straily, MIN SP Ervin Santana, TB SP Alex Cobb, TB SP Chris Archer, TB SP Jake Odorizzi, TOR SP Marco Estrada
    • Likely Moves: The Dodgers need more depth in their starting rotation, despite getting surprisingly good pitching from Alex Wood and Brandon McCarthy.  With continued injuries to Hyun-Jin Ryu and Rich Hill, plus the absence of Julio Urias, the Dodgers need starters who can eat innings.  That is where the starters on expiring contracts come into play – Alex Cobb, Marco Estrada, Jaime Garcia. However, they have been in the market for another big name starting pitcher with term since Zack Greinke left two years ago. They have been linked to Tampa Bay’s Chris Archer and Jake Odorizzi and I also think they may have interest in Miami’s Dan Straily.  I think with how well the Dodgers have been playing this season in spite of their injuries means that the front office is almost guaranteed to make a move at the deadline for a pitcher.  They have the ability to make a trade for nearly any of the pitchers I listed because they have one of the strongest farm systems in baseball as well as one with lots of depth.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks
    • Record as of 7/6: 52-32, 3.5 GB in division, 4.0 game lead in the Wild Card
    • Needs: RP, C
    • Fits: ATL C Tyler Flowers, ATL C Kurt Suzuki, DET C Alex Avila
    • Likely Moves: I think the Diamondbacks find themselves in an interesting situation.  They are certainly a playoff team, yet likely don’t have a team that can win the NL pennant.  They also don’t have a good farm system and can’t be players in the high end trade market.  Because of that, I think it would be smart for them to either just make low-cost trades or just stay put.  I do think that it would be a moral boost to the team and their fans to acquire some talent and make it known that they are trying for the playoffs this season.  I also think that there is something to be said about trading Zack Greinke in order to be out from under his contract and to get some prospects back to help restart their farm system.
  • Colorado Rockies
    • Record as of 7/6: 49-37, 7.5 GB in division, 6.5 game lead in the Wild Card
    • Needs: C, OF, SP, RP
    • Fits: CIN SP Scott Feldman, NYM OF Curtis Granderson, NYM OF Jay Bruce, ATL C Kurt Suzuki, ATL C Tyler Flowers, TOR SP Francisco Liriano, DET OF J.D. Martinez, CWS OF Melky Cabrera
    • Likely Moves: For the first time in a long time, the Rockies may actually need some help on offense.  They especially need help in the outfield, where Carlos Gonzalez has been bad this season and Ian Desmond and Gerardo Parra have both been hurt throughout the season.  I think they could be in on the Mets’ outfielders, Curtis Granderson and Jay Bruce, as well as Melky Cabrera and J.D. Martinez.  I also think they need help at catcher, where they have gotten virtually no production this season.  Atlanta’s two catchers could be of interest to the Rockies.  Finally, they are probably going to be in the market for pitching help like they normally are.

*All stats and information came from mlb.com, baseball-reference.com, fangraphs.com, and spotrac.com

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3 Comments Add yours

  1. Isaac Rodriguez says:

    The Brewers lead the division by 4.5 games, they’re buying, Snacks plan to contend next year too, Greinke isn’t going anywhere

    Like

    1. Isaac Rodriguez says:

      “Dbacks” (dang autocorrect)

      Like

      1. inourwheelhouse says:

        Thanks for the comment! Really appreciate it. I only think that the Brewers will sell because I don’t think they have the talent or staying power to maintain a lead over the Cubs the rest of the season. I just think that the Cubs will ultimately make the trades necessary to better the team. I do think that the Brewers are a really good team, however, with a solid core that will be competitive for many seasons moving forward. The only real reason I suggested that the Diamondbacks consider moving Greinke is because of his salary in relation to their payroll. His salary represents over 35% of their current payroll and that is pretty much unsustainable for any team, let alone a budget team that typically keeps their payroll fairly low. I think that with Chris Owings, Jake Lamb, A.J. Pollock, David Peralta, and most of their starting pitchers due to reach arbitration or free agency this offseason, it makes too much sense financially for the Diamondbacks to consider trading Greinke. If they could trade him to the Cubs, a team with the payroll flexibility to take on such a large contract, the Diamondbacks could get several prospects in return. I understand that the Diamondbacks are competitive right now and are attempting to maintain that in the future, but Greinke is already 33 and will be 37 when his contract expires. He is likely to regress significantly before his deal is up and I think what the Diamondbacks can get in return for Greinke is worth more to their future than Greinke is.

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