NHL Transactions 7/17-23

  • D Brian Campbell retired
  • C Jean-Gabriel Pageau re-signs with Ottawa for 3 years with an AAV of $3.1 million
    • Previous Contract: 2 years, $1.8 million with an AAV of $900,000 signed with Ottawa.
    • Original Projection: I predicted that Pageau would re-sign with Ottawa for 5 years with an AAV of $3.5 million.
    • Thoughts: Pageau earned himself this contract with the playoff he had this year, posting 10 points in 19 games.  He had just 33 points in the regular season, so it is difficult to determine which version of Pageau is the most predictable.  The Ottawa had to ensure that they were able to keep him and getting him locked in for three years is pretty smart, because it will help them deal with the need to re-sign Mark Stone, Kyle Turris, and Cody Ceci, since they will already know what Pageau is going to earn.  I actually think that there is a chance that they overpaid on an annual basis for Pageau, especially because he is a third line center currently, but perhaps they expect him to develop into a top two center.
  • C Frederick Gaudreau re-signs with Nashville for 3 years with an AAV of $667,667
    • Previous Contract: 2 years, $1.19 million with an AAV of $595,000 signed with Nashville.
  • LW Pontus Aberg re-signs with Nashville for 2 years with an AAV of $650,000
    • Previous Contract: 3 years, $2.775 million with an AAV of $925,000 signed with Nashville.
  • D Colton Parayko re-signs with St. Louis for 5 years with an AAV of $5.5 million
    • Previous Contract: 2 years, $1.85 million with an AAV of $925,000 signed with St. Louis.
    • Original Projection: I predicted that Parayko would re-sign with St. Louis for 4 years with an AAV of $5.5 million.
    • Thoughts: I was very close on my prediction of Parayko’s contract. $5.5 million as an annual salary for his first contract out of his Entry Level Deal is quite an incredible raise.  I still think it is a pretty manageable contract for a player who figures to develop into a top two defenseman in the very near future, if he isn’t one already.  I think that if he were on the open market or had received a qualifying offer, he would have gotten quite a bit more in annual salary.  I think the five years is interesting but believe that it was Parayko who pushed for such a short deal.  At the end of this contract he will have just turned 29 years old and will be able to hit the open market similar to the way Kevin Shattenkirk did this offseason.  I feel confident that the Blues pushed for an eight year deal in these negotiations but it meant that Parayko would have wanted much more than a $5.5 million cap hit.  With this deal, I am surprised that Parayko didn’t have his contract paid out in a sizable signing bonus similar to the deals signed by Connor McDavid or Carey Price.
  • LW Viktor Arvidsson re-signs with Nashville for 7 years with an AAV of $4.25 million
    • Previous Contract: 3 years, $1.95 million with an AAV of $650,000 signed with Nashville.
    • Original Projection: I predicted that Arvidsson would re-sign with Nashville for 4 years with an AAV of $4 million.
    • Thoughts: I don’t understand how Nashville GM David Poile was able to get this deal done with Arvidsson.  He scored 31 goals this past season, including 22 at even strength.  Even if Poile tried leveraging the fact that this is the first time Arvidsson has shown the ability to score at this rate at any level, one would think that Arvidsson would have settle for a short deal to prove he is a 30 goal scorer.  There is no real reason to feel that he will regress this upcoming season or in the future because he is likely to play with the same linemates as he did last season.  Getting a player with the potential to be a perennial 30 goalscorer at $4.25 million is ludicrous.  Removing the reality that Filip Forsberg had two seasons of 25 plus goals before signing his current contract, Arvidsson should still be in the same ballpark as Forsberg’s $6 million salary. I think this deal is an absolute steal for Nashville because it still gives them $14.5 million in cap space, more than enough to re-sign Ryan Johansen and bring on more salary if they wish.
  • LW Jordan Martinook re-signs with Arizona for 2 years with an AAV of $1.8 million
    • Previous Contract: 2 years, $1.225 million with an AAV of $612,500 signed with Arizona.
  • LW Ryan Dzingel re-signs with Ottawa for 2 years with an AAV of $1.8 million
    • Previous Contract: 1 year, $750,000 signed with Ottawa.
  • LW Tomas Tatar re-signs with Detroit for 4 years with an AAV of $5.3 million
    • Additional Details: According to Craig Custance, Tatar’s contract has a full no-trade clause in year two and part of year 3 of this deal, and a partial no-trade clause in year 4.
    • Previous Contract: 3 years, $8.25 million with an AAV of $2.75 million signed with Detroit.
    • Original Projection: I thought that there was potential for Tatar’s rights to be dealt this offseason and that he would re-sign with whichever team held his rights for 6 years with an AAV of $4.5 million.
    • Thoughts: According to multiple reports, Tatar’s initial asking price was $6 million per season for six or seven years while Detroit was offer $4 million per season.  Based on that, this contract seems like a fair deal for both parties.  The negotiations went before arbitration but the deal was struck before a decision could be made.  That probably worked out best for Tatar.  I think that based on Tatar’s production (has scored at least 20 goals in each of the past three seasons and had led the team in goal scoring two of the three), he had a right to ask for $6 million per season.  I think that $5.3 million is a fair contract and it isn’t too long of a deal for either side.  It will allow Tatar to hit free agency again at 30 with the opportunity to cash in on a bigger deal, especially if the salary cap rises between now and then.  Tatar should also be happy that his salary is quite a bit higher than those of Alex Galchenyuk’s and Patric Hornqvist’s, two players he compares well to.

*All stats and information came from TSN, Cap Friendly, and Hockey-Reference

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